Carbon Inequality and Allometric Uncertainty in a Micro-Scale Campus Forest in East Java, Indonesia

Authors

  • Citra Lesmana Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
  • Abdulkadir Rahardjanto Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
  • H. Husamah Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
  • Atok Miftachul Hudha Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
  • Tutut Indria Permana Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
  • Samsun Hadi Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
  • Ludwick Satria Romadoni Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.33394/j-ps.v14i3.21087

Keywords:

Urban micro-forest, Carbon inequality, Large old trees (LOTs), Upstream watershed, Gini coefficient, Living lab, Allometric uncertainty

Abstract

Micro-scale urban green infrastructure provides localized ecosystem services, yet quantifying its carbon dynamics remains a methodological challenge due to satellite resolution limits and the structural assumptions of generalized models. This study evaluates carbon stock distribution across 68 individual trees within a heterogeneous 0.8-hectare institutional urban forest at a microcatchment resolution, analyzing the validity of pantropical allometry.  The stand exhibits an estimated mean carbon density of 45.38 Mg C/ha, totaling 36.34 Mg. Critically, the high coefficient of determination value of 0.9422 primarily reflects structural dependency within the allometric formulation rather than independent ecological variability. Furthermore, the Gini coefficient value of 0.654 confirms severe structural biomass asymmetry. The carbon pool is disproportionately concentrated within a limited cohort of exactly 6 Large Old Trees with a diameter exceeding 60 cm, predominantly Samanea saman. Census data reveals that the top 5% of the largest individuals manage 28.3% of the vegetative carbon, while the top 10% and top 20% control 47.3% and 66.2% of the cumulative reservoir, respectively. Within this micro-forest, inverted J-shaped diameter distributions were insufficient to ensure evenly distributed carbon storage. Consequently, urban green planning must prioritize the targeted retention of dominant biomass anchors over raw sapling quantity. Preserving these established large trees contributes significantly to institutional carbon governance, providing an empirical framework for sustainability metrics such as the UI GreenMetric.

References

Ameztegui, A., Rodrigues, M., & Granda, V. (2022). Uncertainty of biomass stocks in Spanish forests: A comprehensive comparison of allometric equations. European Journal of Forest Research, 141(3), 395–407. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10342-022-01444-w

Atici, K. B., Yasayacak, G., Yildiz, Y., & Ulucan, A. (2021). Green university and academic performance: An empirical study on UI GreenMetric and World University Rankings. Journal of Cleaner Production, 291, 125289. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125289

Badan Standardisasi Nasional. (2019). Tata cara penetapan cadangan karbon permukaan tanah pada berbagai tipe penutupan lahan (SNI 8733:2019).

Chave, J., Condit, R., Aguilar, S., Hernandez, A., Lao, S., & Perez, R. (2004). Error propagation and scaling for tropical forest biomass estimates. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences, 359(1443), 409–420. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2003.1425

Chave, J., Réjou-Méchain, M., Búrquez, A., Chidumayo, E., Colgan, M. S., Delitti, W. B. C., Duque, A., Eid, T., Fearnside, P. M., Goodman, R. C., Henry, M., Martínez-Yrízar, A., Mugasha, W. A., Muller-Landau, H. C., Mencuccini, M., Nelson, B. W., Ngomanda, A., Nogueira, E. M., Ortiz-Malavassi, E., . . . Vieilledent, G. (2014). Improved allometric models to estimate the aboveground biomass of tropical trees. Global Change Biology, 20(10), 3177–3190. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12629

Chen, S., Feng, Z., Chen, P., Ullah Khan, T., & Lian, Y. (2019). Nondestructive estimation of the above-ground biomass of multiple tree species in boreal forests of China using terrestrial laser scanning. Forests, 10(11), 936. https://doi.org/10.3390/f10110936

da Silva, L. A., de Aguiar Dutra, A. R., & de Andrade Guerra, J. B. S. O. (2023). Decarbonization in higher education institutions as a way to achieve a green campus: A literature review. Sustainability, 15(5), 4043. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15054043

Evans, J., Jones, R., Karvonen, A., Millard, L., & Wendler, J. (2015). Living labs and co-production: University campuses as platforms for sustainability science. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 16, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2015.06.005

Fani, W. M. N., Anggraini, F. J., & Viareco, H. (2025). Estimation of the carbon footprint of campus activities at the Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Jambi, after the COVID-19 pandemic. Jurnal Kesehatan Lingkungan, 17(2), 146–158. https://doi.org/10.20473/jkl.v17i2.2025.146-158

Husamah, H., Rahardjanto, A., Hudha, A. M., Romadoni, L. S., Widyantopo, A., & Anggraeni, R. (2026). UAV RGB excess green mapping of dense but low-diversity mangrove stands on Pagerungan Besar Island, Indonesia. AACL Bioflux, 19(2), 468–481.

Husamah, H., Romadoni, L. S., & Rahardjanto, A. (2026). Accelerating students’ environmental knowledge creation through digital transformation: A cloud-native geospatial protocol for soil erosion management. Formatif: Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan MIPA, 16(1), 133–146. https://doi.org/10.30998/0zdyfn87

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2006). 2006 IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories: Volume 4. Agriculture, forestry and other land use. Institute for Global Environmental Strategies.

Jeyachandran, I., & Lee, J. (2024). Case study: Impact analysis of roof-top green infrastructure on urban system sustainability in San José, CA. Sustainability, 16(22), 9781. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16229781

Jose, K., Najeeb, N., Suryawanshi, K., Suresh Hebbalalu, S., Page, N., & Chaturvedi, R. K. (2025). Woody species diversity, structure, and carbon stock in a tropical semi-evergreen forest in Western Ghats, India. Environmental Research Communications, 7(4), 045027. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/adcdd0

Kasikam, N., Yarnvudhi, A., Leksungnoen, N., Näsholm, T., & Tor-ngern, P. (2026). Effects of long-term canopy change on regulating ecosystem services in a tropical urban park. Scientific Reports, 16(1), 5077. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-36098-w

Király, É., Illés, G., & Borovics, A. (2025). Green infrastructure for climate change mitigation: Assessment of carbon sequestration and storage in the urban forests of Budapest, Hungary. Urban Science, 9(5), 137. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9050137

Kurtz, B. C., de Almeida, T. M. H., Coelho, M. A. N., Deccache, L. S. J., Tortorelli, R. M., Gonzaga, D. R., Madureira, L. K., Guedes-Oliveira, R., Barros, C. F., & de Siqueira, M. F. (2024). Quantifying the carbon stocks in urban trees: The Rio de Janeiro Botanical Garden as an important tropical carbon sink. Journal of Zoological and Botanical Gardens, 5(4), 579–589. https://doi.org/10.3390/jzbg5040039

Larjavaara, M., & Muller-Landau, H. C. (2013). Measuring tree height: A quantitative comparison of two common field methods in a moist tropical forest. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 4(9), 793–801. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12071

Li, Y.-X., Ma, W., Zhang, W.-X., & He, P. (2025). Estimating small-scale forest carbon sequestration and storage: i-Tree Eco model improved application. Forests, 16(9), 1363. https://doi.org/10.3390/f16091363

Lutz, J. A., Furniss, T. J., Johnson, D. J., Davies, S. J., Allen, D., Alonso, A., Anderson-Teixeira, K. J., Andrade, A., Baltzer, J., Becker, K. M. L., Blomdahl, E. M., Bourg, N. A., Bunyavejchewin, S., Burslem, D. F. R. P., Cansler, C. A., Cao, K., Cao, M., Cárdenas, D., Chang, L., . . . Zimmerman, J. K. (2018). Global importance of large-diameter trees. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 27(7), 849–864. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12747

Makwinja, Y. H., & Njiwawo, M. R. (2025). Trees and forests on campus improve the society’s quality of life: Resource Nexus perspectives based on evidence from the Catholic University of Malawi. Arboricultural Journal, 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1080/03071375.2025.2599605

McGregor, S., Ismail, A.-L., Duker, R., Liversage, W., Maharaj, S., Mills, A. J., van Mazijk, R., Butynski, C., Schutgens, M., Schleicher, M., Graham, M. D., Rees, S. K., Eldabaa, A., Mohamed, A. H., Almalki, S. D., & Lee, B. P. Y.-H. (2025). Allometric equations for hyper-arid desert plant species of AlUla County, Saudi Arabia. Carbon Balance and Management, 20(1), 52. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-025-00334-z

Moe, K. T., Schmucker, J., Aldea, J., Felton, A., Nordén, B., & Löf, M. (2026). Stand density and structural complexity modulate the effects of restorative selective cutting on aboveground carbon stocks. Forest Ecology and Management, 610, 123670. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2026.123670

Quaglia, S., & Aalbers, C. (2026). From government to governance? Investigating municipality-led steering in urban forestry: The case of the Amsterdamse Bos, the Netherlands. Landscape and Urban Planning, 273, 105671. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2026.105671

Rahardjanto, A., Sari, U. R. K., Waluyo, L., & Husamah, H. (2022). Ecological functions of mangrove based on carbon dioxide abilities and carbon storage at Cengkrong Beach, Trenggalek Regency. Jurnal Biosilampari: Jurnal Biologi, 4(2), 33–52. https://doi.org/10.31540/biosilampari.v4i2.1516

Réjou-Méchain, M., Tanguy, A., Piponiot, C., Chave, J., & Hérault, B. (2017). BIOMASS: An R package for estimating above-ground biomass and its uncertainty in tropical forests. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 8(9), 1163–1167. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12753

Reta, G. T., Tolera, M., & Mokria, M. (2025). Multispecies allometric models for estimating aboveground biomass in plantation and natural dry Afromontane forests in northcentral Ethiopia. PLOS ONE, 20(5), e0322025. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0322025

Suheriyanto, D., Madapuri, G. N., & Wahyudi, D. (2024). Identification of tree species and their potential as carbon stock in three urban forests of Malang City, Indonesia. Jurnal Biota, 10(1), 44–51. https://doi.org/10.19109/Biota.v10i1.19929

Vasenev, V., Velthuijsen, R. V., Hoosbeek, M. R., Dvornikov, Y., & Korneykova, M. V. (2026). The variation and driving factors of soil organic carbon stocks and soil CO₂ emissions in urban infrastructure: Case of a university campus. Soil Systems, 10(2), 24. https://doi.org/10.3390/soilsystems10020024

Yusoff, S. Y. M., D, M. M., & Hassan, N. (2021). Urban forest inventory for carbon reduction in a university city campus [Preprint]. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-250190/v2

Zaki, M. K., & Munawaroh, U. (2025). Assessing aboveground biomass and carbon stocks among vegetation types in the Borneo tropical rainforest. E3S Web of Conferences, 682, 01014. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202568201014

Zanne, A. E., Lopez-Gonzalez, G., Coomes, D. A., Ilic, J., Jansen, S., Lewis, S. L., Miller, R. B., Swenson, N. G., Wiemann, M. C., & Chave, J. (2009). Global wood density database [Data set]. http://hdl.handle.net/10255/dryad.235

Zhang, H., Zhang, S., Chen, S., Xia, D., Yang, C., & Zhao, X. (2022). Genetic variation and superior provenances selection for wood properties of Larix olgensis at four trials. Journal of Forestry Research, 33(6), 1867–1879. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-021-01449-y

Zhu, Y., Wang, C., Wang, J., Li, Q., Zhu, L., Zhao, M., Gao, F., Wang, Z., & Liu, S. (2026). Tree size-dependent effects of tree diversity on aboveground biomass during development in subtropical coniferous forests. Carbon Balance and Management, 21(1), 36. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-025-00388-z

Downloads

Published

2026-07-19

How to Cite

Lesmana, C., Rahardjanto, A., Husamah, H., Hudha, A. M., Permana, T. I., Hadi, S., & Romadoni, L. S. (2026). Carbon Inequality and Allometric Uncertainty in a Micro-Scale Campus Forest in East Java, Indonesia. Prisma Sains : Jurnal Pengkajian Ilmu Dan Pembelajaran Matematika Dan IPA IKIP Mataram, 14(3), 1916–1931. https://doi.org/10.33394/j-ps.v14i3.21087

Issue

Section

Research Articles